The Gabonese economy is expected to make a significant comeback, with the African Development Bank (BAD) projecting a growth rate of 3.1% in 2027.
This upbeat forecast is based on several factors, including the consolidation of key sectors such as construction, services, manufacturing, and agriculture.
The BAD attributes this rebound to the dynamism expected in these sectors, as well as the potential for increased agricultural production, driven by aviculture and the palm oil industry.
Regarding external accounts, the current balance is expected to show a surplus of 1.1% of GDP in 2026, with a return to deficit in 2027.
This reprise will be driven by an increase in household consumption and investment, both public and private.
The creation of a central purchasing agency is also seen as a key factor in stabilizing inflation and reducing speculation on imports.
However, the BAD warns that the country still faces significant challenges, including chronic budgetary imbalances and governance weaknesses.
To address these issues, the government has launched a dialogue social program and implemented macroeconomic reforms.
Despite these efforts, the Gabonese economy will face an increasingly challenging international environment, characterized by global conflicts, regional tensions, and declining foreign investment flows.